My latest theory of the economy
The other day I had an epiphany about the economy. I was laying in bed and half dreaming. It goes something like this:
We exist as we do now because of millions upon millions of seemingly random chances happening over millions of years. The things that happen to improve our adaptability or suitability to the environment, improve the chance of survival. The individuals, whose changes improve the adaptability or suitability to survive, live on, and those that decrease the adaptability, die out.
This is the Darwinian theory of evolution; Survival of the fittest.
In the beginning one celled organisms floated around, they just survived. When two cells bumped into each other and stuck, they found they could survive better, so more two celled organisms appeared because they didn’t die so easily. Then four cells, then more. Each cell is a living thing. It can make decisions on its own. I believe thoughts come from that fact we have trillions of these cells in our bodies and they don’t always reach a consensus, and have to discuss the way forward. These are our thoughts.
As the system becomes more complex, it seems that a kind of intuition appears and then awareness and then eventually awareness of awareness. The system starts to consciously choose the best path for survival.
It works so well that one can safely say that at any given moment, a particular species alive is the best version suited to the environment they found themselves in previously. This means that had we developed say 5 limbs, we might not be here now as four limbs were better for us to survive. This is why we don’t have five limbs. There is nothing to say five limbs won’t be best for us in the future or even now. But four limbs were best up until now.
Each iteration or generation of a species improves upon he last, even in a very small way.
So how does his relate to the economy?
One person can’t trade. Two people can. However, without a monetary system, they can barter. This system is the best system for a small group of isolated people. Eventually more people (cells) join the system. A more complicated system of trade is created. Markets or centres of commerce appear.
In a large group of people, bartering is no longer the best choice. It is too inefficient. A common form of value is required. So an abstract concept of money is created. This works well for a much larger group of people with more diverse needs.
As the people in the system grow, more complex systems come and go. Those systems that make trade easier and make people richer, stay, while those that restrict, die out.
Eventually you arrive at complex system like the stock exchange. Only a few decades ago, only a few hundred thousand trades were done a day. As a result, a fairly basic exchange was needed. Now with many, many more people involved, with billions of transactions, a much more complex system is used.
The economy itself acts like an organism, in the sense that is evolves, grows and changes to be the best vehicle for humans to trade. Now, the people who participate can communicate at the speed of light, just as fast as an electrical signal between cells. As the system becomes more complex, with so many participants, a sort of flexibility and intuition starts to emerge. The markets respond to things that have not happened yet.
After the September 11th attacks, some suspicious market activity was investigated before the attacks happened. However, after the investigation, it was proved that nothing untoward happened but the market had somehow intuited something was going to happen.
(Read Alan Greenspan’s book for more details)
Most investment books I have read say if you get your stock market info from the news, you’re too late.
Have we reached the point where we have created a system that has enough cells (participants) that the system itself (which is the summation) of the participants is becoming intuitive. Can it ever become self aware?
Do the individual cells in your body know you are self aware? Are they aware of the bigger picture?
The fact that money doesn’t really exist in any real sense and that we are trading this non real entity around the globe at light speeds with people we will never meet, in order to survive as individuals and to survive as a race, sounds very much like cells firing electrical information around the body to survive and to keep the body in a healthy state. Cells and people can survive on their own but do so much more effectively when part of a complex system.
The entity called the economy is made up of billions of participating humans. Each one has a vested interest in it being healthy. (or perhaps there are some cancerous cells??)
Perhaps something as physical as the economy which some people shy away from as being too materialistic is actually a completely spiritual idea. The joining of all mankind into a common entity that benefits us all, that has some possible greater intelligence and intuition; The combination or summation of all of its parts.
Any notion that pursuing wealth is somehow shallow or unseemly, should be set aside. It is vital to our very survival. Especially when that wealth is gained with the above idea in mind and then put into philanthropic projects.
Looking at the economy and money like this, makes me think it must be fairly easy to become rich. I just need to tap into the entity of the economy, understand it, tune in and watch the money come in.